Now that the line is down to three, I could only look to the under. If you can get Tennessee over a field goal, they’re a clear buy in this matchup. Pittsburgh and Cincinnati are both solid units, but neither looked elite in their other game this season that wasn’t against Watson.īoth of these defensive fronts should control the game. It’s not as if the Browns faced two elite defenses either. He’s 26th in Success Rate, 27th in sack rate, 26th in ANY/A and 30th in EPA/CPOE composite through two weeks. Then there is the Deshaun Watson problem. Jerome Ford is a decent back, but you have to expect a decline in rushing success rate and efficiency with him as the lead ball carrier. The power run game and elite run-blocking offensive line have been the identity of Cleveland’s offense for years, and the loss of Nick Chubb clearly impacts that. The offense is an entirely different story. The Cleveland defense has been by far the best down-to-down unit in the league once you exclude turnovers, as evidenced by the chart below from /stats. Through two full NFL games, the Browns defense has yet to allow an opposing offense to run a play inside its red zone.
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